Actionable Intelligence Alert with John Polomny

Who knew? Gold stocks now outperforming S&P and Nasdaq for the year. AIA Weekly Review 8.31.24

I saw a chart on "X" that shows the GDX (gold stocks) outperforming the Nasdaq and S&P through the end of August. Investors are starting to allocate some funds to gold-stock ETFs. As the FED embarks on its rate-cutting cycle, are we likely to see higher gold prices and, consequently, higher gold-stock prices? China's nuclear power industry is now surpassing the US.

Interview with Unemployed Value Degen

I interviewed Steve from the Unemployed Value Degen Substack. He discussed his former academic background and transition to Substack as an author.
He also discussed his research process and several stocks he is interested in that can be found on his Substack. I do apologize for the connection issues in the back third of the interview, but please skip past them, as I am not good at editing. S
Steve has been on a blistering publishing schedule, and I encourage you to check out his Substack and X feed. Well researched and thought out ideas I my view.

Kazatomprom cuts 2025 uranium guidance by 17%. Uranium stocks explode higher. AIA Weekly 8.24.24

The world's largest uranium supplier, Kazatomprom has reported that 2025 production will be 17% less than originally forecasted. The company also said it will not give 2026 production guidance until this time next year. The Chief Financial Officer also quit after just eleven months on the job. This is tremendously bullish news, and it could likely be the catalyst for the next move higher in uranium prices.

Kamala Harris issues her economic plans. Gold makes new high. AIA Weekly Report 8.17.24

Kamala Harris issues her economic policy prescriptions: price controls, rent controls, and going after "price gouging" companies. How much can she implement? It's difficult to say as she will likely need congressional approval, and I am sure the courts will get involved. First, she needs to get elected.

LOL! Japan's rate raising cycle lasts one week as markets rebel. AIA Weekly Report 8.10.24

Japan's central bank has informed the markets that it will not hike interest rates when the financial and capital markets are unstable. Japan needs to hike rates as the currency is weakening against the dollar.
However, if the carry trade is so big (estimated at $20 trillion) that a .25% rise in Japanese rates causes this much volatility, we potentially have major problems.
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Yen carry trade blows up, markets tank. John gets happy. AIA Weekly Report 8.3.24

The Japanese central bank raised interest rates for the second time this year. Markets tank as yen carry trade begins to unwind. The total value of the Yen carry trade could be as high as $20 trillion. I explain in basic terms what the carry trade is and the repercussions of it unwinding.

Debt, default, and devaluation are the West's future. AIA Weekly Market Update 7.27.24

The overvaluation in US markets continues, yet there are excellent undervalued situations all over the world. I discuss some of these opportunities in this podcast.
 

Why gold stocks have super leverage to the gold price. AIA Weekly Report 7.20.24

Although gold stocks have lagged the recent move in the gold bullion price, primarily because the tech sector bubble is attracting all the attention, they are poised to play catchup. I explain why a $400 move in the gold price can translate into hundreds of millions of dollars of cash flow for a gold mining company.

FED poised to cut interest rates. Gold and gold mining shares will move higher. AIA Weekly 7.13.24

With recent US employment data weakening and inflation continuing to moderate, the FED is poised to begin a rate-cutting cycle. During previous rate-cutting cycles, gold and gold mining stocks have moved materially higher. Gold is above $2400/oz and silver is above $30/oz. Smart money is positioning in these assets in anticipation of rate cuts.

Employment continues to stumble. Time for Mr. Powell's money machine? AIA Weekly 7.6.24

Employment numbers continue to weaken as economic numbers soften. Is it time for the Fed to start its rate-cutting cycle? The FED is likely already behind the curve.