Actionable Intelligence Alert with John Polomny

Energy is my highest conviction idea. AIA Weekly Report 5.31.25

Energy, and oil in particular, is my highest conviction idea currently. The oil curve is backwardated, the market is tight, and energy stocks are absurdly cheap. US producers have learned from the excesses of their shale boom: they are lean, profitable, and shareholder-friendly. Oil is the only commodity to price in a 2025 recession, but global growth could surprise to the upside.

Uranium: We are back baby!. AIA Weekly Report 5.24.25

Last week, the Trump administration signed executive orders directing the Nuclear Regulatory Commission to streamline its regulatory process, speed up the approval of new nuclear plants, and stimulate the development of new nuclear power in the US.

Can the Trump administration pull a trade and monetary rabbit out of a hat? AIA Weekly 5.23.25

The Trump administration is trying to remedy what it sees as unsustainable trade and monetary imbalances, which it views as undermining the US economy.
The question is, can they do it before the economic pain undermines their political support and mandate?

What is currently overvalued and undervalued? AIA Weekly Report 4.26.25

Gold is overvalued currently in the short term. Gold is on the cover of Barron's this week. Conversely, oil is still undervalued in my opinion. Emerging markets are also undervalued relative to the US equity markets.

Oil looks like a great deal at these levels. AIA Weekly Report 4.19.25

Oil sentiment is thoroughly washed out, and everyone is expecting economic weakness. I see declining US production and barring an economic dislocation like 2000, 2008, or 2020, oil is likely to surprise to the upside.

Large cap gold stocks break out as gold makes new high. AIA Weekly Report 4.12.25

The gold stock ETF (GDX) has reached recent highs as the gold price makes a new all-time high. The junior gold stock ETF (GDXJ) is flirting with a breakout. A gold stock bull market now appears to be in progress.

Day of Liberation causes financial dislocation and market chaos. AIA weekly report 4.5.25

The administration initiated its tariff policy, which is part of a broader economic policy. Investors are grieving, fearing, and full of angst. Markets are reacting by selling off. Unfortunately, the baby is being thrown out with the bath water.
We have seen this before. Yes, there is volatility but in this chaos and volatility there is the seed of opportunity.

Gold and copper make new highs. Is sentiment too bullish? AIA Weekly 3.29.25

Gold and copper made new highs this week. However, it seems sentiment is way too bullish for both. Gold has become the latest shiny object on social media, and too many new investors (speculators) are touting it.
Expect a correction in an ongoing bullmarket.

Rotation out of MAG 10 into value and emerging markets continues. AIA Weekly Update 3.22.25

The rotation out of what has been working into undervalued sectors continues as MAG 7-10 stocks weaken, and undervalued sectors (commodities, value, foreign stocks, emerging markets) are beneficiaries of that rotation.

Rotation away from AI/Tech to value stocks continues. AIA Weekly 3.15.25

The rotation from overvalued and overhyped tech and AI stocks into value stocks continues. I discuss sectors where if just a bit of liquidity enters we could see some big moves higher.